Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 6.908375 7.607824 8.354143 9.210879 10.168612 11.207866 12.423084
2025-11-09 5.660591 6.602596 7.675069 8.991157 10.569063 12.407911 14.724545
2025-11-16 4.799713 5.874498 7.166912 8.846130 10.985639 13.640950 17.217709
2025-11-23 4.184415 5.337188 6.790349 8.775092 11.443780 14.948353 19.966017
2025-11-30 3.801046 5.029684 6.645322 8.954090 12.215510 16.728954 23.572904
2025-12-07 3.409340 4.656151 6.356642 8.884534 12.614350 18.023017 26.661100
2025-12-14 3.048373 4.279436 6.012994 8.681549 12.774744 18.965608 29.331635
2025-12-21 2.791390 4.019631 5.801260 8.634752 13.142925 20.240129 32.676744
2025-12-28 2.639735 3.895847 5.771075 8.850075 13.928771 22.249085 37.511115
2026-01-04 2.496320 3.768366 5.718442 9.016655 14.643824 24.216191 42.558273
2026-01-11 2.340730 3.606222 5.593400 9.046360 15.123010 25.826152 47.188705
2026-01-18 2.179673 3.420483 5.411777 8.958162 15.379361 27.059415 51.276464
2026-01-25 2.023608 3.233162 5.216109 8.834338 15.572998 28.230792 55.500931
2026-02-01 1.879580 3.054431 5.019744 8.689584 15.711519 29.316688 59.742430
2026-02-08 1.756818 2.901944 4.855216 8.585253 15.913113 30.550288 64.517938
2026-02-15 1.654621 2.776840 4.727705 8.535818 16.213930 32.021103 70.086867
2026-02-22 1.596142 2.723835 4.723899 8.720117 17.004181 34.622102 78.787145
2026-03-01 1.508249 2.611087 4.601155 8.658523 17.275196 36.130406 85.107756
2026-03-08 1.410688 2.473554 4.421225 8.464536 17.240046 36.944315 89.812961
2026-03-15 1.340437 2.381583 4.320106 8.420791 17.525436 38.530656 96.859541
2026-03-22 1.305697 2.353899 4.340300 8.631041 18.402865 41.645754 108.754024
2026-03-29 1.267518 2.316726 4.338533 8.793496 19.189020 44.652679 121.010938
2026-04-05 1.217507 2.252971 4.278513 8.822671 19.663114 46.939320 131.638854